Bush: Ekonomi AS Sedang Menuju Jurang Kehancuran

[luna_croz]

g baca koran padang.. jumlah phk indonesia sudah mencapai 16k dan yg akan diphk 23k lagi..
bisa sampe segitunya..

[Menara_Jakarta]

Did Oprah cause the economic crash ?



Phillip Tilley: Did Oprah cause the economic crash? It is possible she is at least partly to blame. A year and a half ago the economy was humming along doing fine, consumer confidence was high and so was the stock market. Then Oprah had the author to the book “The Secret” on her program not once but twice to promote it. The Secret uses junk science to convince gullible people they can have whatever they want if they wish it into existence.

Ten million people bought the book and began secretly using the secret to get what they wanted. A new house or car, a big screen TV, and a vacation to Hawaii were all high on the lists of most people. When the secret wasn’t working, they used their credit cards and took out loans and got what they secretly wanted anyway because they believed the secret would secretly send them money to pay for it all so they didn’t worry. They are worried now because there is no money.

Now we are in the midst of an economic crisis. It is no secret that overextending your purchasing power and expecting a miracle will make you go into delinquency, foreclosure, and bankruptcy. I wonder how many of those readers of The Secret would secretly like to sue Oprah and the author of The Secret for influencing them to foolishly destroy their own lives? A real secret is that influence is one of the mechanisms of the money matrix.

If you don’t believe only ten million people could destroy the economy of the U.S. or that Oprah could influence a crisis in the economy I’ll show you how it works.

In 1996 Oprah had a guest talk about Mad Cow on her program and she said something to the effect that she wasn’t going to eat another burger. Texas cattlemen lost $12 million as cattle prices dropped and beef consumption went down. That was just $12 million in Texas. Total loses nation wide were likely $100 million. So in the past, Oprah has had an influence on at least one sector of the economy and if she endorses a book the author becomes a millionaire, count two of influence on the economy.

If you don’t think only 10 million people can crash the economy, consider how few people it takes to elect a President. There are 300 million Americans, half of them are eligible to vote, 150 million. Half of those eligible to vote actually register, 75 million.

On election day half of the registered voters vote, 37.5 million. 51% vote for the winning candidate, 19.25 million. That is only 6.4% of the U.S. population, and only 12.8% of eligible voters. You only need to influence 6.4% of eligible registered voters that actually vote to get elected!

10 million people is only 6.6% of consumers. I wouldn’t say Oprah was malicious or intended to crash the economy, she was merely a tool of influence for the Money Matrix. With the Butterfly Effect, what affects 10 million affects us all. A trail of information leads only to the truth. Wake up people, the money matrix has you.

Phillip Tilley is author of The Money Matrix of the New World Order and other articles.

Article Copyright© Phillip Tilley

http://www.unexplained-mysteries.com....php?id=142127

Artikel yang aneh, malah nyalahin Oprah dan The Secret.

[sariayu]

Artikel yang bagus untuk membedakan pengertian Resesi dengan Depresi yang saat ini sering dibincangkan .....

Artikel ini ditulis oleh Chief Economist ANZ yang saya kenal baik ....

Silakan Download Disini

[luna_croz]

Did Oprah cause the economic crash ?



Phillip Tilley: Did Oprah cause the economic crash? It is possible she is at least partly to blame. A year and a half ago the economy was humming along doing fine, consumer confidence was high and so was the stock market. Then Oprah had the author to the book “The Secret” on her program not once but twice to promote it. The Secret uses junk science to convince gullible people they can have whatever they want if they wish it into existence.

Ten million people bought the book and began secretly using the secret to get what they wanted. A new house or car, a big screen TV, and a vacation to Hawaii were all high on the lists of most people. When the secret wasn’t working, they used their credit cards and took out loans and got what they secretly wanted anyway because they believed the secret would secretly send them money to pay for it all so they didn’t worry. They are worried now because there is no money.

Now we are in the midst of an economic crisis. It is no secret that overextending your purchasing power and expecting a miracle will make you go into delinquency, foreclosure, and bankruptcy. I wonder how many of those readers of The Secret would secretly like to sue Oprah and the author of The Secret for influencing them to foolishly destroy their own lives? A real secret is that influence is one of the mechanisms of the money matrix.

If you don’t believe only ten million people could destroy the economy of the U.S. or that Oprah could influence a crisis in the economy I’ll show you how it works.

In 1996 Oprah had a guest talk about Mad Cow on her program and she said something to the effect that she wasn’t going to eat another burger. Texas cattlemen lost $12 million as cattle prices dropped and beef consumption went down. That was just $12 million in Texas. Total loses nation wide were likely $100 million. So in the past, Oprah has had an influence on at least one sector of the economy and if she endorses a book the author becomes a millionaire, count two of influence on the economy.

If you don’t think only 10 million people can crash the economy, consider how few people it takes to elect a President. There are 300 million Americans, half of them are eligible to vote, 150 million. Half of those eligible to vote actually register, 75 million.

On election day half of the registered voters vote, 37.5 million. 51% vote for the winning candidate, 19.25 million. That is only 6.4% of the U.S. population, and only 12.8% of eligible voters. You only need to influence 6.4% of eligible registered voters that actually vote to get elected!

10 million people is only 6.6% of consumers. I wouldn’t say Oprah was malicious or intended to crash the economy, she was merely a tool of influence for the Money Matrix. With the Butterfly Effect, what affects 10 million affects us all. A trail of information leads only to the truth. Wake up people, the money matrix has you.

Phillip Tilley is author of The Money Matrix of the New World Order and other articles.

Article Copyright© Phillip Tilley

http://www.unexplained-mysteries.com....php?id=142127

Artikel yang aneh, malah nyalahin Oprah dan The Secret.

bisa saja itu terjadi.. malah diindo lebih banyak lagi..
liat saja iklan2 dukun-dukunan tersebut..
membuat orang menjadi malas dan menanti kabar baik dari berita sang dukun tsb..
akhirnya apa? ga ada kerja ya hasilnya 0.
mau beritanya "bulan ini ekonomi anda sangat baik" juga jadi ********

dan lagian oprah juga uda jadi image bagi masyarakat..
dia ngapain semuanya jg pasti ikutan..
ya Oprah mah ga usah cape2 kerja lagi uda bisa beli ini beli itu, klo yg laen? masa modal ngimpi ama visualisasi doank?

[sampah_tong]

Angka perceraian di Kota Batam meningkat sekitar 15 persen dibanding tahun lalu, kata Hakim Pengadilan Agama Kota Batam Muslim Djamaludin.

"Hingga November, jumlah perceraian 859, padahal, tahun lalu, hingga akhir Desember, kasus cerai hanya 799," katanya di Batam, Senin.

Menurut Muslim, peningkatan jumlah perceraian di kota industri karena kondisi ekonomi yang melemah. Berdasarkan pengalaman memimpin sidang cerai, kata dia, umumnya, perceraian dilatarbelakangi persoalan ekonomi.

"Sejauh ini kasus cerai didominasi oleh cerai gugat, istri kurang puas dengan pendapatan suami," katanya.

Menurut dia, kondisi perekonomian Kota Batam yang kian terpuruk menyebabkan jumlah perceraian terus meningkat hingga akhir tahun.

Ancaman Pemutusan Hubungan Kerja, pengurangan jumlah produksi pabrik yang mengakibatkan berkurangnya pendapatan pekerja dari uang lembur menjadi pemicu utama perceraian, kata dia.

Ia mengatakan umumnya, pasangan suami istri Batam belum matang, sehingga mudah terpicu cerai karena masalah ekonomi.

"Sebelum diputuskan cerai, telah kami beri mediasi, namun mereka tetap pada keputusan, karena ego yang tinggi," katanya.

Selain masalah ekonomi, faktor utama perceraian di Kota Batam juga disebabkan pengetahuan agama yang minim.


Para pasangan mudah mengambil keputusan cerai dengan alasan diizinkan agama. Padahal, sejatinya, kata dia, cerai aalah tindakan yang dibenci Tuhan.

"Mereka mudah sekali mengambil keputusan cerai, dan umumnya perempuan yang menggugat, ini menandakan pengetahuan agama pasangan itu masih sangat minim," katanya.

Berdasarkan data Pengadilan Agama Kota Batam, dari 859 kasus yang ditangani sepanjang 2008 hingga November, sebanyak 508 pasang cerai gugat, 207 pasangan cerai talak, dan empat pasangan izin poligami. "Sisanya karena alasan beragam," kata dia.

sumber

Dampak krisis ekonomi memang sangat buruk, walopun ga ada krismon juga pada cerai.

[wowkkwow]

wah gila yah dari krisis tahun 1998 terulang 10 tahun yang akan datang menjadi 2008
memang hebat nie perputaran waktu .

dasyat dan parahhh

[sariayu]

wah gila yah dari krisis tahun 1998 terulang 10 tahun yang akan datang menjadi 2008
memang hebat nie perputaran waktu .

dasyat dan parahhh

Hmm, emangnya udah tanda-tanda krisis 98 bakal terulang ya? Liat tuh dollar udah 10k lagi. Belum lagi pertumbuhan kita tetap kokoh di 6%, sementara AS, Uni Eropa dan Singapura udah resesi, malah Malaysia aja diprediksi pertumbuhan bakal 0%. Pemerintah sekarang bagus dalam menangani krisis global, malah dipuji Jerman dan Perancis.

[wowkkwow]

klo amerika down , lalu yg menjadi yang adidaya selain amerika serikat siapa ?
klo mnurut gwe jepang

[DoOs_101]

klo amerika down , lalu yg menjadi yang adidaya selain amerika serikat siapa ?
klo mnurut gwe jepang

Jepang lbih down lg baca beritanya... Sampai bisanya mereka down banget, benchmark rate diturunkan ke 0.1% dari keputusan bank sentral mrk...

[Black Zero]

Gw cek dolar... masih besar tu --" moga2 turun terus si.

[luna_croz]

singapure resesi tetapi mengapa penukaran mata uang kita terhadap singapure malah nurun ya?

[Menara_Jakarta]

Indonesia entered the current turmoil in a strong position
JAKARTA, Jan 13

It was a terrible year for emerging markets in 2008.

To put things into perspective, the outflows from emerging markets exceeded US$50 billion (RM175 billion) as the year wound down, compared with total inflows of US$95 billion from 2003-07, according to Emerging Portfolio Fund Research.

These markets have paid a heavy price as foreign investors liquidate positions, especially in markets considered more risky than home markets.

But consider Indonesia — below the radar screen of most global investors despite a sterling performance in 2006 and 2007. With real GDP of US$840 billion and a population of 240 million, Indonesia quietly accounts for two-fifths of ASEAN's population and one-third of its GDP.

The nation’s debt-to-GDP ratio has been declining, its foreign exchange reserves are at a robust US$48 billion, and its stock market was one of the three best performers in the world in 2006 and 2007. (2008, however, was brutal, as the fortunes on our recent list of Indonesia’s 40 Richest took a beating.)

Finance Minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati is seen as the face of the new Indonesia, a reformer who has tried to bring transparency to the financial sector and rid the country of graft and waste, no small order after decades of corruption.

The government passed a new investment law in March 2007 and has initiated tax and customs reforms, introduced Treasury bills and improved capital market supervision. Randy Salim, spokesman for the World Bank in Jakarta, states that “given sound macroeconomic management in recent years, Indonesia entered the current phase of market turmoil in a strong position.”

One sign of strength: Conglomerate Lippo Group recently announced that it was going to invest US$500 million in distressed real estate in Europe and the US.

The key perception of Indonesia is that it is heavily dependent on commodity prices. But the Indonesian economy seems to be holding up rather well, despite the commodity meltdown, with GDP up by 6.1 per cent in the year through the third quarter. What about next year?

Finance Minister Mulyani recently predicted that economic growth could cool to about five per cent (even that number may be optimistic).

As a significant exporter of commodities, it will be squeezed by falling prices, but keep in mind that Indonesia’s total exports are equivalent to only 30 per cent of its GDP, while for Malaysia the figure is 95 per cent.

Looking ahead, Indonesia seems nicely placed to benefit from the inevitable rise in commodity prices as the cycle turns.

And don’t forget politics. Freedom House, an American think tank, now rates Indonesia as the only completely free country in Southeast Asia, only 11 years after Suharto’s fall.

It has developed a free press and minimised military involvement in politics, and in 2009 some 175 million voters across 17,000 tropical islands will choose a president, a vice

president and 560 parliamentarians. (One thing to watch in the long term: A new Indonesian law favouring local mining companies is scaring away big foreign miners.)

Attracting private investors to build out badly needed infrastructure for the world’s fourth-most-populous nation is another top priority. Less than 53 per cent of Indonesians have access to electricity; 27 per cent have access to piped water; 43 per cent of the workforce is engaged in agriculture.

The nation requires US$140 billion of infrastructure investment over the next ten years. The government can finance only 40 per cent of this amount; the balance of funds must come from the private sector.

According to Edward Gustely, senior adviser to the Indonesian Ministry of Finance, one example of progress on this front is the Indonesia Clean Technology Fund, the first private equity fund of its kind with the participation of the Indonesian government that aims to mobilise private capital for investing in such things as alternative energy, water treatment and agritechnology.

Investors seem to be looking ahead as Jakarta’s market is surging off a bottom. Tying into the infrastructure theme is the well-positioned Telekomunikasi Indonesia (US$0.65, TLKM: Jakarta) — a company that has explosive growth potential, as only 40 per cent of Indonesians have mobile phones.

The company has bounced off its low and still offers good value, a strong balance sheet and sports a nice six per cent dividend.

An excellent play on clean energy and Indonesia’s proven natural reserves is PT Perusahaan Gas Negara (US$0.20, PGAS: Jakarta), which has roots going back to 1859. Gas Negara’s net profits for the first nine months of 2008 were up 56 per cent compared with the same period in 2007.

Those investors looking for an even broader play should look at the Indonesian Fund (IF) managed by Credit Suisse Asset Management. While down 60 per cent so far in 2008, IF has also come to life recently but still trades at a 12 per cent discount to its net asset value.

Indonesia is on the move, get on board. — Forbes Asia

http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/i...trong-position

Ini ada artikel menarik. "Indonesia is on the move, get on board. — Forbes Asia".

[DoOs_101]

Indonesia entered the current turmoil in a strong position
JAKARTA, Jan 13

It was a terrible year for emerging markets in 2008.

To put things into perspective, the outflows from emerging markets exceeded US$50 billion (RM175 billion) as the year wound down, compared with total inflows of US$95 billion from 2003-07, according to Emerging Portfolio Fund Research.

These markets have paid a heavy price as foreign investors liquidate positions, especially in markets considered more risky than home markets.

But consider Indonesia — below the radar screen of most global investors despite a sterling performance in 2006 and 2007. With real GDP of US$840 billion and a population of 240 million, Indonesia quietly accounts for two-fifths of ASEAN's population and one-third of its GDP.

The nation’s debt-to-GDP ratio has been declining, its foreign exchange reserves are at a robust US$48 billion, and its stock market was one of the three best performers in the world in 2006 and 2007. (2008, however, was brutal, as the fortunes on our recent list of Indonesia’s 40 Richest took a beating.)

Finance Minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati is seen as the face of the new Indonesia, a reformer who has tried to bring transparency to the financial sector and rid the country of graft and waste, no small order after decades of corruption.

The government passed a new investment law in March 2007 and has initiated tax and customs reforms, introduced Treasury bills and improved capital market supervision. Randy Salim, spokesman for the World Bank in Jakarta, states that “given sound macroeconomic management in recent years, Indonesia entered the current phase of market turmoil in a strong position.”

One sign of strength: Conglomerate Lippo Group recently announced that it was going to invest US$500 million in distressed real estate in Europe and the US.

The key perception of Indonesia is that it is heavily dependent on commodity prices. But the Indonesian economy seems to be holding up rather well, despite the commodity meltdown, with GDP up by 6.1 per cent in the year through the third quarter. What about next year?

Finance Minister Mulyani recently predicted that economic growth could cool to about five per cent (even that number may be optimistic).

As a significant exporter of commodities, it will be squeezed by falling prices, but keep in mind that Indonesia’s total exports are equivalent to only 30 per cent of its GDP, while for Malaysia the figure is 95 per cent.

Looking ahead, Indonesia seems nicely placed to benefit from the inevitable rise in commodity prices as the cycle turns.

And don’t forget politics. Freedom House, an American think tank, now rates Indonesia as the only completely free country in Southeast Asia, only 11 years after Suharto’s fall.

It has developed a free press and minimised military involvement in politics, and in 2009 some 175 million voters across 17,000 tropical islands will choose a president, a vice

president and 560 parliamentarians. (One thing to watch in the long term: A new Indonesian law favouring local mining companies is scaring away big foreign miners.)

Attracting private investors to build out badly needed infrastructure for the world’s fourth-most-populous nation is another top priority. Less than 53 per cent of Indonesians have access to electricity; 27 per cent have access to piped water; 43 per cent of the workforce is engaged in agriculture.

The nation requires US$140 billion of infrastructure investment over the next ten years. The government can finance only 40 per cent of this amount; the balance of funds must come from the private sector.

According to Edward Gustely, senior adviser to the Indonesian Ministry of Finance, one example of progress on this front is the Indonesia Clean Technology Fund, the first private equity fund of its kind with the participation of the Indonesian government that aims to mobilise private capital for investing in such things as alternative energy, water treatment and agritechnology.

Investors seem to be looking ahead as Jakarta’s market is surging off a bottom. Tying into the infrastructure theme is the well-positioned Telekomunikasi Indonesia (US$0.65, TLKM: Jakarta) — a company that has explosive growth potential, as only 40 per cent of Indonesians have mobile phones.

The company has bounced off its low and still offers good value, a strong balance sheet and sports a nice six per cent dividend.

An excellent play on clean energy and Indonesia’s proven natural reserves is PT Perusahaan Gas Negara (US$0.20, PGAS: Jakarta), which has roots going back to 1859. Gas Negara’s net profits for the first nine months of 2008 were up 56 per cent compared with the same period in 2007.

Those investors looking for an even broader play should look at the Indonesian Fund (IF) managed by Credit Suisse Asset Management. While down 60 per cent so far in 2008, IF has also come to life recently but still trades at a 12 per cent discount to its net asset value.

Indonesia is on the move, get on board. — Forbes Asia

http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/i...trong-position

Ini ada artikel menarik. "Indonesia is on the move, get on board. — Forbes Asia".

Gua bacanya yg print mjlh lbih lengkap.


Indonesia FDI nya kuat karena fakta membuktikan, disaat dunia krisis, posisi kita termaksud paling kuat. Sehingga investor mengambil kesimpulan bahwa negara kita mempunyai pasar yang kuat dan feasible. Hanya pembangunan infrastruktur belum kuat, pemerintah membutuhkan private investor untuk mendanai pembangunan infrastruktur yg dibutuhkan.

[Menara_Jakarta]

Gua bacanya yg print mjlh lbih lengkap.


Indonesia FDI nya kuat karena fakta membuktikan, disaat dunia krisis, posisi kita termaksud paling kuat. Sehingga investor mengambil kesimpulan bahwa negara kita mempunyai pasar yang kuat dan feasible. Hanya pembangunan infrastruktur belum kuat, pemerintah membutuhkan private investor untuk mendanai pembangunan infrastruktur yg dibutuhkan.

Yah, infrastruktur Indonesia memang masih perlu dibenahi supaya pertumbuhannya bisa optimal.

[Menara_Jakarta]

Indonesian Bonds to Return 30 Percent, Rupiah to Gain, ING Says


Jan. 16 (Bloomberg) -- Indonesia’s local-currency bonds and the rupiah may advance in 2009 as investors seek higher yields because of increasing risk appetite, according to ING Groep NV.

The yield on the government’s 10-year bond will fall 2.9 percentage points to 9.25 percent by Dec. 31 as Bank Indonesia lowers the benchmark interest rate by three quarters of a point, Tim Condon, Singapore-based head of Asia research at the largest Dutch financial services company, said in an interview today.

“Globally we’ll be seeing economies in recovery,” Condon said. “At that point, the intense risk aversion that has characterized the last quarter and beginning of this year will dissipate and people will be looking more for returns and Indonesia will be an attractive destination.”

The bonds would give investors a return of 30 percent in 2009 should Condon’s yield forecast prove accurate, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. HSBC Holdings Plc’s index of Indonesian local-currency debt shows the securities have handed investors a profit in six of the past seven years, with the best returns of 29.5 percent in 2006 and 59 percent in 2002.

Indonesia’s 9 percent 10-year bonds maturing in September 2008 yielded 12.16 percent, according to midday prices at the Inter Dealer market Association. The last time the rate fell as low as 9.25 percent was in November 2007.

Rupiah to Strengthen

The central bank cut it benchmark interest rate for a second month in January, to 8.75 percent, to help revive economic growth. Bank Indonesia will reduce the policy rate to 8 percent by year- end, Condon said.

“There’s plenty of liquidity against the backdrop of increasing investor confidence in the country, both domestic and foreign,” Condon said. “There are idle funds which investors can take and put to work.”

Indonesia’s rupiah will also strengthen as growth in Southeast Asia’s largest economy beats some other countries in the region, according to Condon.

The rupiah will advance 16 percent to 9,500 per dollar by the end of the fourth quarter, he said, more bullish than the median estimate of 10,940 among 20 finance firms surveyed by Bloomberg News. The currency traded at 11,106 as of 12:36 p.m. in Jakarta. The rupiah slumped 13.8 percent last year, Asia’s third- worst performing currency excluding the yen.

Indonesia’s $433 billion economy will expand 4.5 percent in 2009, Condon predicts. The government said gross domestic product increased 6 percent in 2008. Japan, Singapore, Hong Kong and New Zealand all entered a recession.

Inflation will slow to between 5 percent and 7 percent by the end of the year, from 11.06 percent in December, Condon forecast.

Investors “will be seeing that inflation is falling and the economy is not doing that badly,” he said. Indonesia “was Asia’s third-fastest growing economy last year.”

http://www.1-8.asia/2009/01/indonesi...ays-bloomberg/

Good news